The ceasefire is declared. The negotiating gap remains wide, the Strait is now an Iranian strategic asset, and the final deal may be worse than the one abandoned in February. Iran exits tactically weakened but geopolitically strengthened, its regime intact and its leverage elevated. The Gulf States are exposed, Israel is unresolved, and Europe has been reminded, again, that soft power without hard power is not power.
Ocean Wall hosts a private lunch with two of Britain’s most distinguished defence and security minds. Lieutenant General Sir James Bucknall, KCB, CBE, former Commander of NATO Allied Land Command, and Major Will McManners, former Special Forces Officer, strategic adviser and CEO of MD One Europe’s first dedicated defence VC fund. They will be in conversation with Nick Lawson on the situation in Iran: the ceasefire reality, the geopolitical fallout, and what it means for capital allocation.